Phönix Lübeck 3-1 Todesfelde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Todesfelde EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+29% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phönix Lübeck
3-1
AWAY Todesfelde
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck saw off Todesfelde 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Phönix Lübeck as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Phönix Lübeck had 53% of the ball to Todesfelde's 47%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde?

Phönix Lübeck 3-1 Todesfelde in the Germany - Regional League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Todesfelde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 49%, draw 29%, Todesfelde 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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