Caen vs Bastia Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Fransa - Ligue 3, 27 Aug 2026

📅27/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Bastia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
330 Passes 325
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Bastia Bastia 2-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
02.11.2024 Caen Caen 2-0 HT 1-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
23.01.2024 Bastia Bastia 1-2 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
02.12.2023 Caen Caen 1-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
03.02.2023 Caen Caen 3-1 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
26.12.2022 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
PREVIEW Caen vs Bastia
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Caen, but not by enough to write Bastia off.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Caen and 0.83 for Bastia.

Caen vs Bastia Kick-off Time

Caen play Bastia in the Fransa - Ligue 3 on 27/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Caen vs Bastia Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Caen vs Bastia is a Caen win at about 43% probability, priced 2.25 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Caen 43%, draw 29%, Bastia 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →