Fulham U21 5-2 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.3pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.0pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.3pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham U21
5-2
AWAY Sunderland U21
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
537 Passes 338
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fulham U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham U21 swept aside Sunderland U21 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fulham U21 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fulham U21 had 60% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 40%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Fulham U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Fulham U21 5-2 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fulham U21 57%, draw 18%, Sunderland U21 25%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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