Norwich City U21 3-5 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
4.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.28
No
38%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
74%
-11.9pp
38%
BTTS No
26%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester United U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.12 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
462 Passes 499
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2024 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 4-2 HT 3-1 Norwich City U21 Norwich City U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City U21
3-5
AWAY Manchester United U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 10
346 Passes 405
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Norwich City U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 beat Norwich City U21 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Norwich City U21 had 48% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 52%, shots finished 16-21.

What was the final score of Norwich City U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Norwich City U21 3-5 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Norwich City U21 31%, draw 26%, Manchester United U21 43%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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