Manchester City U21 4-1 Aston Villa U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.94
Over 2.5
53%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.28
No
41%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
55%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
22%
+25.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
78%
-25.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
74%
-15.3pp
41%
BTTS No
26%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
4-1
AWAY Aston Villa U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
406 Passes 441
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 swept aside Aston Villa U21 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City U21 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 48% of the ball to Aston Villa U21's 52%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Manchester City U21 4-1 Aston Villa U21 in the INGPL2 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Aston Villa U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 42%, draw 26%, Aston Villa U21 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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