Guangdong Mingtu 1-2 Rizhao Yuqi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.62
Over 2.5
35%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangdong Mingtu EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi EU Bookmakers 37%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.11/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.59
-44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +72%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
20.6 Crosses 10.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangdong Mingtu
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.31 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
179 Passes 174
53% Pass Accuracy 57%
10 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.08.2025 Rizhao Yuqi 3-0 HT 1-0 Guangdong Mingtu ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangdong Mingtu
1-2
AWAY Rizhao Yuqi
0.57 xG 1.12
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
264 Passes 247
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rizhao Yuqi edged past Guangdong Mingtu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Rizhao Yuqi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangdong Mingtu had 51% of the ball to Rizhao Yuqi's 49%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.57 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi?

Guangdong Mingtu 1-2 Rizhao Yuqi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangdong Mingtu vs Rizhao Yuqi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangdong Mingtu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guangdong Mingtu 40%, draw 28%, Rizhao Yuqi 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guangdong Mingtu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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