Yanbian Longding 3-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.75/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.71
+16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
16.3 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.64 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
205 Passes 317
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
25.08.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 0-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
05.04.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
3-0
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.42 xG 0.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
202 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding ran out comfortable winners over Chongqing Tongliang Long 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Yanbian Longding made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 42% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 58%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.42 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.00 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Yanbian Longding 3-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 31%, draw 28%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 40%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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