Hainan Star 2-0 Jiangxi Liansheng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.5pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Liansheng EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.51/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/0.23
-15% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +105%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
12.0 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Jiangxi Liansheng
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.54 xG 1.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 401
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 Jiangxi Liansheng 1-0 HT 1-0 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
17.05.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 1-4 HT 1-2 Jiangxi Liansheng ÇİNK
31.05.2023 Hainan Star Hainan Star 1-2 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Liansheng ÇİNK
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Liansheng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star beat Jiangxi Liansheng 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jiangxi Liansheng at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jiangxi Liansheng led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hainan Star and 2.33 for Jiangxi Liansheng.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Liansheng?

Hainan Star 2-0 Jiangxi Liansheng in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Liansheng?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jiangxi Liansheng win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 29%, draw 23%, Jiangxi Liansheng 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jiangxi Liansheng) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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