Hainan Star 2-0 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.67
Over 2.5
54%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.5pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.51/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.05
-15% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +128%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
12.0 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.08.2025 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hainan Star saw off Jiangxi Beidamen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jiangxi Beidamen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Hainan Star 2-0 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jiangxi Beidamen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 33%, draw 22%, Jiangxi Beidamen 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jiangxi Beidamen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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