Northampton Town 2-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.45
Away Pick
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.74
Over
47%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.74
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
5%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.26
1/2
3%
25.0
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
8%
8.64
X/2
20%
4.11
X/X
16%
4.65
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.36
2/X
5%
14.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Northampton Town The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers The Market 57%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.80 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
1.66 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
205 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 73%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.54 xG 1.30
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2025 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.10.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-4 HT 0-2 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
10.02.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
21.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
18.03.2017 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
26.11.2016 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
2 - 0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.35 xG 1.69
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
157 Passes 343
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Northampton Town put daylight between themselves and Bolton Wanderers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Bolton Wanderers at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.

By the numbers, Northampton Town had 37% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 63%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.35 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 2.17 for Bolton Wanderers.

Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers Result & Final Score

Northampton Town 2 - 0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 20%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 55%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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