Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Northampton Town v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals
Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Northampton Town
İN1
2-1
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
1-2
HT 0-2
Northampton Town
İNLK
Northampton Town 2-4 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers saw off Northampton Town 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Northampton Town had 48% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 52%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.57 to 2.01.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 1.40 for Bolton Wanderers.
What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?
Northampton Town 2-4 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 28%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.