Northampton Town 2-4 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away Pick
56%
1.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.94
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.94
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.92
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.99
6+
5%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.41
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
8%
9.05
X/2
19%
3.91
X/X
15%
4.58
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
33%
2.31
2/X
5%
14.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Northampton Town The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers The Market 57%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.00
1.62 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
Weak Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Great
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
191 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 71%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.59 xG 1.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
270 Passes 369
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
21.10.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
18.03.2017 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
26.11.2016 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
26.08.2008 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
2 - 4
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.57 xG 2.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bolton Wanderers had too much for Northampton Town 4-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 49%.

The match data tells the story: Northampton Town had 48% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 52%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.57 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 1.40 for Bolton Wanderers.

Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers Result & Final Score

Northampton Town 2 - 4 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Northampton Town vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 19%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 56%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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