Stevenage vs Wrexham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stevenage v Wrexham — Team-Based Signals
Stevenage vs Wrexham Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Stevenage
İBSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Wrexham
İBSL
1-2
HT 0-0
Wrexham
İBSL
5-0
HT 1-0
Stevenage
İBSL
Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham — Actual Match Statistics
Stevenage edged past Wrexham 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Stevenage found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stevenage had 40% of the ball to Wrexham's 60%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.80 to 0.55.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wrexham led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stevenage and 1.75 for Wrexham.
What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wrexham?
Stevenage 1-0 Wrexham in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Wrexham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 38%, draw 29%, Wrexham 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.