Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

Bristol Rovers
3-2 HT 1-0
Charlton Athletic
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bristol Rovers vs Charlton Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.96
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
10%
6.34
X/2
16%
4.52
X/X
9%
4.24
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
3.09
2/X
12%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+2.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Charlton Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.26/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.09
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 70%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
17.8 Crosses 20.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bristol Rovers vs Charlton Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
292 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
15.08.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
07.04.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
17.12.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-2 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
16.03.2021 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-2 HT 2-2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
16.01.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1

Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
3-2
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.71 xG 1.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
141 Passes 255
60% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers nicked a narrow win over Charlton Athletic 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Charlton Athletic at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 39% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 61%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.71 to 1.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Charlton Athletic.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.17 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?

Bristol Rovers 3-2 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 27%, draw 27%, Charlton Athletic 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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