Shrewsbury 0-2 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
8%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.46
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
7%
7.15
X/2
14%
4.34
X/X
13%
4.66
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.72
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.91/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.40
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.0 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.54 xG 1.79
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
177 Passes 475
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 40
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İNTK
16.04.2011 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
28.08.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 0-4 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
26.12.2007 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
08.09.2007 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
01.01.2007 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 4-2 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-2
AWAY Stockport County
0.63 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County saw off Shrewsbury 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 51% of the ball to Stockport County's 49%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.63 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shrewsbury and 0.83 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Stockport County?

Shrewsbury 0-2 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 30%, draw 26%, Stockport County 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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