Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 34% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.74
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.28
X/2
10%
7.12
X/X
14%
4.5
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
16%
5.57
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.3pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
0.90/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.36
-31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 66%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.1 Crosses 16.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Exeter City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 Passes 295
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.04.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
09.09.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
08.02.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
14.08.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
06.03.2021 Exeter City Exeter City 4-0 HT 3-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
27.10.2020 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
0-1
AWAY Exeter City
2.42 xG 1.93
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
425 Passes 233
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City nicked a narrow win over Leyton Orient 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Exeter City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 61% of the ball to Exeter City's 39%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.42 to 1.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Leyton Orient.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.50 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Exeter City?

Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 39%, draw 25%, Exeter City 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leyton Orient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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