Crawley Town 0-2 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

Crawley Town
0-2 HT 0-1
Mansfield Town
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Crawley Town vs Mansfield Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
13%
6.3
X/2
11%
5.26
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
20%
3.13
2/X
10%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crawley Town v Mansfield Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.11/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.97
-13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
– Crosses 14.5
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Crawley Town vs Mansfield Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crawley Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.80 xG 1.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 320
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
16.12.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
01.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
22.10.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
23.04.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
27.11.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2

Crawley Town 0-2 Mansfield Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crawley Town
0-2
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.48 xG 1.08
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
417 Passes 212
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crawley Town vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mansfield Town got the better of Crawley Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Mansfield Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crawley Town had 61% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 39%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.48 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crawley Town and 2.33 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Crawley Town vs Mansfield Town?

Crawley Town 0-2 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 35%, draw 25%, Mansfield Town 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mansfield Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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