Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bolton Wanderers v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals
Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Northampton Town
İN1
2-1
HT 0-0
Northampton Town
İN1
0-1
HT 0-1
Bolton Wanderers
İN1
1-2
HT 0-2
Northampton Town
İNLK
Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bolton Wanderers saw off Northampton Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 49% of the ball to Northampton Town's 51%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.84 to 0.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.17 for Northampton Town.
What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town?
Bolton Wanderers 3-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Northampton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 54%, draw 22%, Northampton Town 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.