Stockport County 1-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

Stockport County
1-0 HT 1-0
Shrewsbury
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Shrewsbury Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.6
X/1
15%
3.63
X/2
8%
13.15
X/X
14%
5.07
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
12.4
2/X
5%
21.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Shrewsbury — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.95/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.46
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
358 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 65%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.9 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Stockport County vs Shrewsbury Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.73 xG 0.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
384 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
18.10.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İNTK
16.04.2011 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
28.08.2010 Stockport County Stockport County 0-4 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
26.12.2007 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
08.09.2007 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2

Stockport County 1-0 Shrewsbury — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.57 xG 0.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
324 Passes 207
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
21 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County edged past Shrewsbury 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Stockport County had 58% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 42%, shots finished 9-3, expected goals 0.57 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stockport County and 1.67 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Shrewsbury?

Stockport County 1-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 53%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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