Peterborough United 1-0 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

Peterborough United
1-0 HT 1-0
Wigan Athletic
📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2
12%
5.92
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
4.13
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -15%
1.44/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
+19% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.7 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.98 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
392 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
03.02.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-3 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
07.11.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
27.02.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
20.10.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
13.01.2018 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1

Peterborough United 1-0 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
1-0
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.54 xG 0.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United edged past Wigan Athletic 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Peterborough United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough United had 47% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 53%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.54 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Peterborough United and 1.50 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic?

Peterborough United 1-0 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 36%, draw 27%, Wigan Athletic 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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