Peterborough United 2-3 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 3 Feb 2024

Peterborough United
2-3 HT 0-1
Wigan Athletic
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.99
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.75
X/1
18%
3.96
X/2
7%
10.65
X/X
11%
5.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.3
2/2
10%
7.82
2/X
10%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough United v Wigan Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.82/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.64
+18% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.1 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.6

Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.58 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
345 Passes 278
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.11.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
27.02.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
20.10.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
13.01.2018 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
23.09.2017 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
05.03.2016 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1

Peterborough United 2-3 Wigan Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough United
2-3
AWAY Wigan Athletic
3.98 xG 1.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
459 Passes 229
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
47 Box Touches 22
44 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic edged past Peterborough United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Peterborough United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough United had 64% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 36%, shots finished 27-10, expected goals 3.98 to 1.71 — on chances, Peterborough United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peterborough United and 1.00 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic?

Peterborough United 2-3 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough United vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Peterborough United 51%, draw 26%, Wigan Athletic 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peterborough United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peterborough United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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