Wigan Athletic 3-0 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Oct 2024

Wigan Athletic
3-0 HT 1-0
Peterborough United
📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wigan Athletic vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
12%
4.67
X/2
11%
7.06
X/X
16%
4.83
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
13%
5.0
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wigan Athletic v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.21/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
-17% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.8 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Wigan Athletic vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 2.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 Passes 373
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-3 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
07.11.2023 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
27.02.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
20.10.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
13.01.2018 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
23.09.2017 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1

Wigan Athletic 3-0 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
3-0
AWAY Peterborough United
0.69 xG 1.20
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
295 Passes 469
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic swept aside Peterborough United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 39% of the ball to Peterborough United's 61%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.69 to 1.20 — on chances, Peterborough United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.50 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Peterborough United?

Wigan Athletic 3-0 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 41%, draw 29%, Peterborough United 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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