Exeter City 2-6 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
25%
3.97
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.22
1/2
11%
28.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
12%
6.76
X/2
19%
4.75
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.04
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Exeter City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
0.96/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.11
-24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.2 Crosses 12.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Exeter City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.51 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 267
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-1 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
09.04.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-2 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
09.09.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-2 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
08.02.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
14.08.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-0 HT 2-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
06.03.2021 Exeter City Exeter City 4-0 HT 3-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Exeter City
2-6
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.90 xG 2.44
65% Ball Possession 35%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
390 Passes 151
78% Pass Accuracy 57%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Exeter City vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient ran out comfortable winners over Exeter City 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leyton Orient as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Exeter City had 65% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 35%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.90 to 2.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Exeter City and 1.17 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Exeter City vs Leyton Orient?

Exeter City 2-6 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Exeter City vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Exeter City 26%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 47%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leyton Orient) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5
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