Rotherham United 2-1 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Jan 2025

📅28/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.07
X/2
12%
9.07
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
8%
7.71
2/X
6%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotherham United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.79/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.25
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
27.7 Crosses 17.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotherham United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.59 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
236 Passes 199
70% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 18
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
25.01.2022 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
18.12.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Rotherham United Rotherham United İN1
20.11.2021 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
11.08.2015 Rotherham United Rotherham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNLK
10.02.2001 Rotherham United Rotherham United 3-0 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotherham United
2-1
AWAY Cambridge United
1.26 xG 0.53
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
264 Passes 180
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rotherham United vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotherham United squeezed past Cambridge United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rotherham United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Rotherham United had 58% of the ball to Cambridge United's 42%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotherham United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rotherham United and 0.33 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Rotherham United vs Cambridge United?

Rotherham United 2-1 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 28/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotherham United vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotherham United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rotherham United 49%, draw 25%, Cambridge United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotherham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotherham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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