Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
İNLK
Chelsea 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Chelsea 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Chelsea had 60% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 40%, shots finished 13-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chelsea and 1.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Chelsea 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 50%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea) went the other way.