Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crystal Palace v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool
İNP
Crystal Palace 2-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Crystal Palace squeezed past Liverpool 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Liverpool at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Crystal Palace had 28% of the ball to Liverpool's 72%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 2.92 to 2.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.00 for Liverpool.
What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Crystal Palace 2-1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 26%, draw 23%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.