27/09/2025
·
17:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Ourense CF vs Pontevedra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
29%
Draw
29%
38%
Away Win
37%
56%
Under 2.5
62%
44%
Over 2.5
38%
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
49%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ourense CF v Pontevedra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ourense CF
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Pontevedra
EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
0.99/0.90
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.96/1.75
-16%
/
+16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-13%
/
-41%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
216 · 65%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
240 · 67%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
1.3
Ourense CF vs Pontevedra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ourense CF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Pontevedra
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
1
Total Shots
11
1
Shots on Target
4
1
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
09.12.2023
Ourense CF
0-0
HT 0-0
Pontevedra
İS4
0-0
HT 0-0
Pontevedra
İS4
POST-MATCH
Ourense CF vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Ourense CF 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pontevedra found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Pontevedra?
Ourense CF 1-2 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Pontevedra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 33%, draw 29%, Pontevedra 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontevedra), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pontevedra)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İS3
More Spain - 2nd Division B
27 Sep 2025