Sabadell 1-0 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.53
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
21%
4.15
6+
11%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.26/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.28
-20% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Villarreal II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-3 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
01.10.2021 Sabadell Sabadell 0-1 HT 0-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
04.01.2020 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-0 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
11.02.2012 Sabadell Sabadell 3-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
03.09.2011 Villarreal II Villarreal II 3-4 HT 1-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
1-0
AWAY Villarreal II
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell squeezed past Villarreal II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sabadell had 53% of the ball to Villarreal II's 47%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sabadell had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sabadell and 1.40 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Villarreal II?

Sabadell 1-0 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 50%, draw 29%, Villarreal II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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