Celta Vigo II 2-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.57
2-3
38%
1.71
4-5
21%
4.08
6+
10%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.74/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.41
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Arenteiro
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-2 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
07.09.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
18.05.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
24.09.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-3 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
2-1
AWAY Arenteiro
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II edged past Arenteiro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 48% of the ball to Arenteiro's 52%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.25 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Arenteiro?

Celta Vigo II 2-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 48%, draw 28%, Arenteiro 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5
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