Arenteiro 1-2 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -6%
1.21/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.01
-4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.09.2024 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
18.05.2024 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
24.09.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-3 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
1-2
AWAY Celta Vigo II
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II squeezed past Arenteiro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arenteiro had 56% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arenteiro and 1.67 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo II?

Arenteiro 1-2 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 37%, draw 32%, Celta Vigo II 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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