Real Madrid II 1-3 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.64
Over
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
43%
2.46
2-3
36%
1.72
4-5
14%
4.29
6+
7%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.46 — our 43% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
33%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.1pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.36/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-61% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tenerife
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
13 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
01.03.2014 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
29.09.2013 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
27.05.2007 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-3 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
20.12.2006 Tenerife Tenerife 3-2 HT 3-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
19.02.2006 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
17.09.2005 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-2 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-3
AWAY Tenerife
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife got the better of Real Madrid II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 66% of the ball to Tenerife's 34%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.83 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Tenerife?

Real Madrid II 1-3 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 22%, draw 28%, Tenerife 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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