Burgos Promesas 2000 1-1 Langreo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-0.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Langreo EU Bookmakers 43%
-24% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.58/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.76
-45% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Langreo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Burgos Promesas 2000 0-2 HT 0-1 Langreo Langreo İS4
02.10.2022 Langreo Langreo 2-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1-1
AWAY Langreo
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Langreo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 and Langreo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 57% of the ball to Langreo's 43%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Langreo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Burgos Promesas 2000 and 2.00 for Langreo.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Langreo?

Burgos Promesas 2000 1-1 Langreo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Langreo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Langreo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 30%, draw 32%, Langreo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Langreo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Langreo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
27 Sep 2025
14:30 Real Madrid III vs Elche II Analysis →
17:30 Mutilvera vs UD Logrones Analysis →
17:30 Beasain vs Real Union Analysis →
17:30 Basconia vs Zaragoza II Analysis →
18:00 Ebro vs Ejea Analysis →
19:00 Samano vs Sarriana Analysis →