Mutilvera 0-4 UD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 56%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.64/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.52
-29% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +74%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 45.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mutilvera
0W-0D-2L
AWAY UD Logrones
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Mutilvera Mutilvera 1-2 HT 1-0 UD Logrones UD Logrones İS4
15.10.2023 UD Logrones UD Logrones 3-0 HT 2-0 Mutilvera Mutilvera İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mutilvera
0-4
AWAY UD Logrones
39% Ball Possession 61%
2 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mutilvera vs UD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones ran out comfortable winners over Mutilvera 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mutilvera had 39% of the ball to UD Logrones's 61%, shots finished 2-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Logrones led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mutilvera and 2.50 for UD Logrones.

What was the final score of Mutilvera vs UD Logrones?

Mutilvera 0-4 UD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mutilvera vs UD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mutilvera 25%, draw 33%, UD Logrones 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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