Ebro 3-1 Ejea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Sep 2025

Ebro
3-1 HT 2-1
Ejea
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebro EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ejea EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.11/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.51
-15% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebro
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Ejea
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.04.2022 Ebro Ebro 1-0 HT 0-0 Ejea Ejea İS4
27.11.2021 Ejea Ejea 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebro Ebro İS4
31.01.2021 Ejea Ejea 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebro Ebro İS3
01.11.2020 Ebro Ebro 1-1 HT 1-0 Ejea Ejea İS3
09.02.2020 Ebro Ebro 1-1 HT 1-1 Ejea Ejea İS3
22.09.2019 Ejea Ejea 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebro Ebro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebro
3-1
AWAY Ejea
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ebro vs Ejea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebro saw off Ejea 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Ebro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebro had 48% of the ball to Ejea's 52%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebro had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ebro and 0.50 for Ejea.

What was the final score of Ebro vs Ejea?

Ebro 3-1 Ejea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebro vs Ejea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ebro 39%, draw 30%, Ejea 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ebro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
27 Sep 2025
14:30 Real Madrid III vs Elche II Analysis →
17:30 Mutilvera vs UD Logrones Analysis →
17:30 Beasain vs Real Union Analysis →
17:30 Basconia vs Zaragoza II Analysis →
18:00 Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Langreo Analysis →
19:00 Samano vs Sarriana Analysis →