Samano 1-2 Sarriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.3pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarriana EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samano
1-2
AWAY Sarriana
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Samano vs Sarriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarriana edged past Samano 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sarriana found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samano had 34% of the ball to Sarriana's 66%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Samano vs Sarriana?

Samano 1-2 Sarriana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samano vs Sarriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Samano 39%, draw 25%, Sarriana 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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