Luckenwalde 1-0 Chemie Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-10.6pp
38%
Draw
27%
+11.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemie Leipzig EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.20/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.89
-30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Chemie Leipzig
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-3 HT 1-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
10.08.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
21.02.2024 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
10.02.2023 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
19.08.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-2 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
05.03.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 5-3 HT 2-0 Chemie Leipzig Chemie Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde edged past Chemie Leipzig 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 38% / 28% — and on the day Luckenwalde made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.33 for Chemie Leipzig.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig?

Luckenwalde 1-0 Chemie Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 34%, draw 38%, Chemie Leipzig 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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