Phönix Lübeck 1-2 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 56%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.99/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.26
+55% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2W-2D-0L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
10.08.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-1 HT 3-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
26.11.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 5-1 HT 1-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg nicked a narrow win over Phönix Lübeck 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had VfB Oldenburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 1.25 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Phönix Lübeck 1-2 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an VfB Oldenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 24%, draw 26%, VfB Oldenburg 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Oldenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VfB Oldenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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