Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.41
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.64
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
6%
14.55
X/X
4%
7.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
17%
19.15
2/2
4%
11.05
2/X
7%
19.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.15 — our 17% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
67%
+3.8pp
16%
Draw
19%
-2.6pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
2.19/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.26
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.5 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Westerlo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.48 xG 1.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
376 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 HT 2-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
10.08.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 4-3 HT 3-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
10.02.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-2 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
29.10.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.02.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
06.11.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Westerlo
2.24 xG 0.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
308 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise beat Westerlo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 54% of the ball to Westerlo's 46%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.24 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 2.17 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 70%, draw 16%, Westerlo 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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