Independiente Petrolero 2-1 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -5%
1.50/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.52
-10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 74%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.1 Crosses 15.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.69
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
253 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 3-3 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
05.12.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 2-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
08.08.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 3-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
25.11.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
21.10.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2-1
AWAY Real Tomayapo
0.99 xG 0.51
68% Ball Possession 32%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 121
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
15 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Real Tomayapo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 68% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 32%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 2.00 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Independiente Petrolero 2-1 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 59%, draw 21%, Real Tomayapo 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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