Oulu 0-2 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.66
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.9
6+ Goals
15%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.9
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
7%
6.82
X/X
10%
5.65
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
12%
4.39
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.50/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.50
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
17.5 Crosses 20.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
6W-0D-0L
AWAY KTP Kotka
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 Oulu Oulu 3-2 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
02.05.2025 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-3 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
29.09.2023 Oulu Oulu 2-0 HT 2-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
22.07.2023 Oulu Oulu 3-1 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN
05.07.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİK
05.04.2023 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-2 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
0-2
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.60 xG 1.52
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
433 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oulu vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka beat Oulu 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oulu had 63% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 37%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.60 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Oulu and 0.83 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Oulu vs KTP Kotka?

Oulu 0-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Oulu 50%, draw 23%, KTP Kotka 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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