Gnistan 0-4 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
9.98
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.15
1/2
6%
21.35
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
6%
8.37
X/2
18%
4.46
X/X
6%
5.55
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.35
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-2.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.12/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.02
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.1
18.2 Crosses 23.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
0W-1D-4L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.20
1.10 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 426
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 6-2 HT 3-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
27.04.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
07.07.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 3-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
19.05.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 0-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
20.03.2021 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 5-0 HT 3-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-4
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.68 xG 3.08
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
278 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 45
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

KuPS Kuopio ran out comfortable winners over Gnistan 4-0 away from home in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Gnistan had 41% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 59%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.68 to 3.08.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Gnistan and 3.20 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?

Gnistan 0-4 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 29%, draw 21%, KuPS Kuopio 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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