Salisbury 1-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
45%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
45%
Away Win
40%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.63/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.17
-55% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-2 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
19.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-3 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury and Dorking Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dorking Wanderers at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Salisbury and 2.50 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers?

Salisbury 1-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - FA Cup on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 32%, draw 24%, Dorking Wanderers 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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