Daejeon Korail 0-1 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Korail EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.57/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.49
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Korail
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.06.2025 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-2 HT 2-2 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
20.09.2024 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
26.05.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
03.11.2023 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail 3-1 HT 0-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
10.06.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 2-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
28.08.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Korail Daejeon Korail GK3L
POST-MATCH Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mokpo City nicked a narrow win over Daejeon Korail 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Daejeon Korail at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daejeon Korail and 1.33 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City?

Daejeon Korail 0-1 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Korail win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Korail 57%, draw 20%, Mokpo City 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Korail) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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