Chuncheon Citizen 2-4 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.97/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.86
-14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
277 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
31.05.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
19.10.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
25.05.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.07.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.04.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City saw off Chuncheon Citizen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Changwon City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 1.40 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Changwon City?

Chuncheon Citizen 2-4 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 31%, draw 31%, Changwon City 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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