Yeoju Sejong 0-2 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
45%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
32%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.73/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.03
-35% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeoju Sejong
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.05.2025 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-0 HT 0-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
22.09.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 0-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
25.05.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
POST-MATCH Yeoju Sejong vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen got the better of Yeoju Sejong 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Yeoju Sejong and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Yeoju Sejong vs Paju Citizen?

Yeoju Sejong 0-2 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeoju Sejong vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yeoju Sejong 25%, draw 30%, Paju Citizen 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paju Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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