Changwon City 2-1 Chuncheon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
42%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
42%
-17.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.9pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+11.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.34
+3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chuncheon Citizen
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.10.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
25.05.2024 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-3 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
23.07.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.04.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-1 HT 0-0 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City nicked a narrow win over Chuncheon Citizen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chuncheon Citizen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chuncheon Citizen led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Changwon City and 1.50 for Chuncheon Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Changwon City 2-1 Chuncheon Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Chuncheon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chuncheon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 24%, draw 34%, Chuncheon Citizen 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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