Siheung Citizen 2-1 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
2.10/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.56
+30% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Siheung Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
27.07.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
14.04.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
17.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
20.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
29.10.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 2-2 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
04.06.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 3-4 HT 2-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen edged past Ulsan Citizen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Siheung Citizen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Siheung Citizen and 1.50 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Siheung Citizen 2-1 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siheung Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Siheung Citizen 57%, draw 22%, Ulsan Citizen 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siheung Citizen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siheung Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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