Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.36/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.6 Crosses 13.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
452 Passes 336
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2025 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
04.05.2025 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
30.09.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
15.06.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
12.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-4 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
26.11.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 4-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
3-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
296 Passes 330
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons nicked a narrow win over Bucheon 1995 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jeonnam Dragons as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 47% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 53%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 2.00 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon 1995?

Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 46%, draw 25%, Bucheon 1995 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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