Asan Mugunghwa 1-3 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
8%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.56/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.04
+20% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
261 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-3 HT 0-2 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
15.03.2025 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
30.10.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
21.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
03.03.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 2-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-3
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 378
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings beat Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 50% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 50%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.40 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-3 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 32%, draw 22%, Suwon Bluewings 47%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ BTTS Yes
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