Dugopolje 1-0 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 37%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.61/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.11
-39% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 3-1 HT 2-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
26.10.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-1 HT 1-0 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
18.08.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 1-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
01.06.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-1 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
1-0
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje edged past Bijelo Brdo 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Dugopolje made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dugopolje had 49% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 51%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dugopolje and 1.75 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo?

Dugopolje 1-0 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 34%, draw 31%, Bijelo Brdo 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✓ Under 2.5
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