Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.85
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.25
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
8%
12.55
X/X
11%
5.32
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
5%
11.25
2/X
6%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 18%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.66/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.45
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
468 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
24.1 Crosses 17.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
465 Passes 313
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
06.07.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.03.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
24.09.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.04.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
03.11.2020 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.41 xG 1.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
367 Passes 191
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
44 Box Touches 14
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 62% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 38%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.41 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Vissel Kobe 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 60%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-Pulse 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe)
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